Hang Seng Spread Betting Market Rises on Positive US Leads

Spread Betting

Hang Seng Spread Betting Market Rises on Positive US Leads

Hang Seng Spread Betting Market Rises on Positive US Leads

For today's update see Spread Betting Daily.

The Daily Update from Anthony Grech, Research Analyst, IG Index.


Spread Betting 16 December 2011: 11.00am Update

As the week draws to a close, markets have pushed higher for the second successive day, helped by broadly upbeat readings from the US yesterday. However, caution still persists, even as everyone begins to look eagerly towards Christmas.

By 10.30am (London time), the FTSE 100 was up 0.6% at 5432.66, while the FTSE 250 had risen 0.4% to 9868.85. European markets were more muted however, with France and Spain losing ground, and Germany and Italy making only small gains.

US economic data boosts outlook

It seems that optimism about the US economy is the reason behind this morning’s gains on the FTSE 100. Yesterday’s economic data, and strong earnings from FedEx, have buoyed investors as the penultimate week before Christmas draws to a close.

Some are beginning to hope that the US economy is starting to decouple from the Eurozone crisis, as the world’s largest economy shows its resilience. Shares in delivery firm FedEx were up 8% following its results, cheering investors as the company is seen as a useful barometer of the health of the wider US economy.

However, some were more cautious, noting that the departure of DHL from the US delivery scene means that FedEx and UPS are acting carefully in order to maintain volumes.

I also remain sceptical that the US can remain fully immune from the impact of the Eurozone crisis. The most pernicious element so far has been a sapping of confidence among investors, who worry that all companies, regardless of their financial health or the strength of current trading, will be hit hard if the currency union breaks apart.

What spread betting investors have been crying out for, and what has been conspicuously lacking from politicians, is any concrete deal that promises a long-term solution. Everything so far has been merely a sticking plaster, which has meant that the crisis is now about to enter its third year. The Eurozone crisis was the theme of 2011, and it will be the theme of 2012 as well.

Fitch goes for the banks

Fitch Ratings (remember, they’re the ones owned by a French company) acted to cut its ratings for seven major banks, citing increasing challenges in financial markets. BNP Paribas, Deutsche, Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse and Barclays were all cut down by at least one notch, with the last two dropping by two notches.

The agency added that new regulations might limit the growth potential of the firms in the future, although it acknowledged that they had made progress in building up their capital buffers. The downgrades had little impact however, with Barclays up 0.7% at 171.75p. The other UK banks rose in sympathy, with the other big four up around 1% this morning.

Blacks Leisure

If the future for the Eurozone looks bleak, for Blacks Leisure it is now positively abysmal. Only three days after hinting that they were looking at a deal, rival Sports Direct has withdrawn any potential offer for the company (I am tempted to wonder whether you can really withdraw a ‘potential’ offer, but that is somewhat tangential).

Sports Direct said that it was still a ‘committed’ shareholder of Blacks, however. Shares in Blacks Leisure duly slumped, and were down over 25% at one point, hitting a low of 1.6p.

Looking ahead

US futures are stronger this morning, up 46 points for the Dow and 10 points for the S&P 500, suggesting that Wall Street will make further headway this afternoon. US November CPI data is due out later, at 1.30pm (London time), but apart from this it’s a fairly quiet day on the economic front.


Remember that financial spread betting is a leveraged product and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit. Spread betting may not be suitable for everyone, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

The above comments do not constitute investment advice and neither IG Index nor SpreadBets.org.uk accept any responsibility for any use that may be made of them.


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Spread Betting 16 December 2011: 5.00am Update

US markets bounced overnight on the back of some encouraging economic data.

Sentiment was also lifted by an impressive Spanish bond auction, which saw it raise almost double its target. However, head of the IMF Christine Lagarde warned that Europe’s debt crisis is escalating to a point where it requires action by countries outside the European Union. These comments put a dampener on the rally and saw markets pare gains.

Among the major averages, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.4% to 11,869. The S&P added 0.3% to 1216 and the NASDAQ was up 0.1% to 2541.

Asia & Australia

Across Asia, regional spread betting markets are enjoying modest gains after picking up a fairly positive lead from US markets. The US is in recovery mode, with recent data suggesting the world’s biggest economy has put the worst behind it.

However, trading is relatively subdued into the end of the year, with some caution being exercised due to a potential S&P downgrade. On the data front, there is not a lot happening in the Asian session, with no major economic releases.

The Hang Seng, Nikkei and ASX 200 are up between 0.2% and 0.4% each. US and European markets are pointing towards modest gains on the open.

The Australian share spread betting market is up 0.4% at 4156, with the defensive sectors leading the mild gains. However, there is some caution after Standard & Poor's warned that low credit growth would crimp US bank earnings, and after Lagarde stated that the world economic outlook is ’quite gloomy’.

The local banks are holding up fairly well, with ANZ leading the pack after putting on 1.3%. The retailers are struggling after JB Hi-fi issued a profit warning. JBH is down 13% and has dragged the consumer discretionary sector lower. There are some bright spots in the materials sector, with the big miners posting gains.

Europe

Tonight traders will be looking for positive comments from Mario Draghi, who is scheduled to speak in early European trade. US core CPI will also be announced, however given the Federal Reserve is not looking to put the Fed funds rate up anytime soon, don’t expect this to spur too much volatility.

On another note, Reuters is reporting, citing EU diplomats that the next EU summit is scheduled to be held on February 7 to 8. So if we do see risk assets deteriorating through January, this will again come into focus as the next ‘key date’ which the market can get excited about, only to be disappointed once we know the outcome.

There is no major economic data due out of the UK tonight. Ahead of the European open we're calling the FTSE up 34 at 5435, the DAX up 29 at 5760 and the CAC up 13 at 3012.


Remember that financial spread betting is a leveraged product and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit. Spread betting may not be suitable for everyone, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

The above comments do not constitute investment advice and neither IG Index nor SpreadBets.org.uk accept any responsibility for any use that may be made of them.


Advert: IG Index Spread Betting - No Fees, No Commissions, Free Charts and Live Prices.
Spread Bet on Indices, Forex, Commodities, Shares and more. For details see IG Index.



"Hang Seng Spread Betting Market Rises on Positive US Leads" last update by AG, 16-Dec-2011

Warning: Financial spread betting carries a high level of risk. You can lose more than your initial investment or stake. Financial spread betting may not be suitable for all investors. Only trade with money that you can afford to lose. Make sure you fully understand the risk involved. If necessary, seek independent financial advice.


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Warning: Financial spread betting carries a high level of risk. You can lose more than your initial investment or stake. Financial spread betting may not be suitable for all investors. Only trade with money that you can afford to lose. Make sure you fully understand the risk involved. If necessary, seek independent financial advice.

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