UK Retail Shares: Ocado Tumbles After Issuing Profit Warnings
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For today's update see Spread Betting Daily.
The Daily Update from Anthony Grech, Research Analyst, IG Index.
Spread Betting 19 December 2011: 11.00am Update
A quiet start to the week saw the FTSE make small gains, but it then fell back as geopolitical worries over the death of the North Korean leader caused investors to fret.
As the final week before Christmas dawns, the themes that started the year remain with us. Friday night saw the ratings agencies engage in their now-traditional end-of-week downgrade for Europe, while UK retailers are struggling once again this morning.
By 11.30am (London time), both the FTSE 100 and 250 were down 0.15%, at 5379.03 and 9789.18 respectively. European markets however were higher, with the DAX up 0.7% and the CAC up 0.45%.
Credit ratings agencies add to Eurozone woes
Moody's and Fitch did their bit on Friday to shatter the calm, issuing a series of pronouncements on the Eurozone and downgrading one of the key members of the EU.
Moody's made the most interesting move, downgrading Belgium by two notches to Aaa3, with a negative outlook.
Even though the country has finally managed to install a government, after over a year of political wrangling, the agency said that political uncertainty and deteriorating national finances made the situation precarious. In addition, increased worries about Belgium's embattled banking sector also contributed to the downgrade decision.
Meanwhile, Fitch took action on a slew of Eurozone states, putting Belgium, Italy, Spain, Ireland, Slovenia and Cyprus on negative watch. This was bad enough, but it followed up by announcing the big one, France.
Fitch said that it believed France to be most exposed to an intensification of the Eurozone crisis. They suggested that increased liabilities posed risks to the precarious state of the French national balance sheet whilst weaker economic growth would impair Paris' ability to restore debt to a more manageable level.
Of course, we are still awaiting any news from Standard & Poor's, the agency that put the entire Eurozone on negative watch two weeks ago.
Rumours swirled on Friday that Spain and Italy might be downgraded, so the Belgium decision was almost something of a relief, since Brussels' impact on the financial system is much smaller than Madrid or Rome. However, everyone knows that the real crunch point will be France; if this domino falls then 2012 will start off on a very grim note indeed.
Retailers remain under fire
Ocado and HMV have endured a very difficult year, and it doesn't look as if either of them will see their predicaments lessen in the New Year.
British icon HMV said that sales were down 11.6% like-for-like for the year to 26 October, with the company incurring a pre-tax loss of £45.7 million.
As a result, it has decided to review the status of its live events division, with a sale a likely possibility.
Ocado issued a profit warning, saying that problems at its warehouse had increased delivery times, and as a result profits would be in the region of £27.5 - 28.5 million, below the forecast of £34 million.
Ocado and HMV have spent the morning racing each other lower on the shares spread betting markets, and are currently down 9.2% at 65p and 10.8% at 3.45p respectively. Ocado floated on the stock market at 180p per share, while HMV started 2011 with its shares at 32p.
Looking ahead
No major US data is scheduled for release this afternoon, so the focus will remain Europe. At present, the Dow is expected to start up 60 points, while the S&P 500 is forecast to begin seven points higher.
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"UK Retail Shares: Ocado Tumbles After Issuing Profit Warnings" last update by AG, 19-Dec-2011
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